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Fuel & Oil Update – 4 May

Market Note:

Oil prices have lately lost their forward momentum, with both Brent and WTI crude plunging this week. A rather perplexing trend is being observed in the oil markets: there’s a big disconnect between inventory data and oil prices.

Oil prices crashed in Wednesday’s session, marking the second day of declines ahead of a likely 25-basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve as well as growing anxiety over the prospect of a recession amid questions about the health of U.S regional banks. WTI June contract slipped 5.1% to $68.29 per barrel while Brent for June settlement was 4.7% lower to $71.80, the lowest level in more than a year.

The current crash closely mirrors the March decline when the banking crisis first unfolded, suggesting the markets are getting concerned about the demand outlook.

Growing fears of a recession due to rising interest rates as well as the risk that Chinese demand could fall short of expectations in the coming months remain a serious overhang on oil prices.

Industry Note:

Diesel ‘rip-off’ as wholesale prices cheaper than petrol for over a month, RAC says.

The motoring group says motorists and businesses are paying well over the odds for diesel and the government must take action to ensure transparency in the market UK-wide. Diesel drivers are being “ripped-off” at the pumps to the tune of around 16p per litre, according to a motoring group.

The RAC, along with others, has long argued that British motorists and businesses are paying over the odds for the fuel – the engine behind the UK economy – fanning the flames of inflation and the cost of living crisis in the process.

It’s believed drivers should be paying around 143p “at the very most” for a litre of diesel. Fuel retailers have long been accused of being quick to raise prices when wholesale costs spike and slow to reduce them to reflect lower costs.

Foenix Partners, 26 Curtain Road, London, EC2A 3NY